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What Does The Gold Market Know That The Rest Of Us Don't?

Published 01/30/2020, 01:05 AM

The FOMC left rates unchanged yesterday, targeting the 1.5%-1.75% range as expected. The only small change the Fed made was to raise the IOER rate by 0.05% and announce that they would be extending repo operations until April.

Otherwise, the statement and the press conference were….boring (for lack of a better word). However, as soon as the statement was released, gold began to go bid:

Gold 15 Minute Chart

Perhaps it was just back to business as usual. Below is the base chart I’ve been using for gold. It’s the daily futures chart, which has broken out of a flag pattern and is currently on its way to target near $1723.

Price had paused along the way and the RSI moved to extreme overbought territory (above 80). The slight pullback gave the RSI room to unwind back into neutral territory.

Gold Futures Daily Chart

Perhaps someone knew early that Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) was going to announce that they were temporarily going to close all offices in China due to the Coronavirus (source: Verge).

Or perhaps someone was just trying to push the precious metal's price higher through horizontal resistance, as seen on a 60-minute chart:

Gold Futures 60 Min Chart

On a 240-minute chart, price is trying to break higher, out of a symmetrical triangle. Maybe someone was trying to push it through the upper trendline.

Gold Futures 240 Min Chart

Does the gold market know something other markets don’t? Whatever the reason for gold moving higher on the release of the FOMC statement yesterday, it still looks like it’s trying to head towards the $1723 level!

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Price normally doesn’t move in a straight line, so expect some pullbacks along the way if it does continue higher.

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Latest comments

M_CAP_F11NDJan 30, 2020, 14:42
If we can get the Break-Out. I was thinkn 1.74.60, 1.772.51, 1.830.34 LEVELS.... THOUGHS?. If this CORONA-VIRUS continues to make head-lines we could get the break-out...
Abdelraziq AbuaishaJan 30, 2020, 13:49
We are about to know Dr. Gold. I think this is what you enlighten by this article dear writer. I said this on June 2019, and I totally agree with you. Great article.
Show all comments
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