Polycom Wipes Out 18 Months Of Gains

Published 04/06/2012, 01:39 AM
One month ago, Polycom (PLCM) dropped 10% seemingly out of nowhere on relatively high volume. On April 5, PLCM dropped 20% in the wake of an earnings warning in which the company stated their “…growth rate was below our overall expectations, driven primarily by shortfalls in Asia Pacific and North America.” On a GAAP basis, PLCM expects earnings per share last quarter to plunge from last year’s $0.19 to $0.07 to $0.09 this year. So perhaps last month’s stock drop was the first warning.
PLCM CHART
PLCM has experienced an earning's roller coaster for many months

The chart above shows that wild earnings-related swings have become the norm for PLCM, and the 200-day moving average (DMA) has neatly capped the stock. I have been looking for an opportunity to start building a position in PLCM and decided to make the leap. Most interesting about the close at 18-month lows is that PLCM has returned to a critical breakout point from 2010.
PLCM-weekly
Polycom reverses 18-months of gains

I do not expect a swift recovery from the wipe-out of such long-term gains. Since PLCM is a fundamentally sound company, I am willing to be patient…and even build a larger position.

Full disclosure: long PLCM shares and calls
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