🚀 FLASH SALE: 50% off InvestingPro | Aiming for higher than average returns? Act fast.Claim Sale

Our Short Trade Is Working, but Don’t Get Greedy

Published 01/05/2024, 01:33 AM

The S&P 500 shed another 0.3% on Thursday, making this four down sessions in a row.S&P 500-Daily Chart

Financial headlines haven’t changed in a meaningful way since last week’s Santa Clause rally peaked, but no matter how good things seem, there always comes a point when we run out of new money to keep pushing prices even higher.

It is starting to feel like October’s massive rebound finally reached that point of diminishing demand. Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m not one of these cynics predicting a huge crash or anything like that.

But I’ve been doing this long enough to know stocks move in waves. Every bit of up is eventually followed by a bit of down. The only question is how much down we get.

As I wrote in my Free After-Hours analysis on Wednesday:

At this point, the pullback deserves the benefit of the doubt.

Anyone who shorted Tuesday or Wednesday morning is sitting on small but comfortable profits, and they can lower their stops to somewhere between Tuesday’s intraday highs and their entry points, greatly reducing their risk.

Given Thursday’s declines, shorts should move their stops down to their entry points, making this a low-risk trade. This close under 4,700 support suggests we have more near-term weakness coming our way.

As I wrote above, I’m not at all bearish. This week’s step back is nothing more than supply and demand rebalancing from last week’s overbought levels.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads.

At this point, 4,600 support is very much in play. We might not get back to this level, but my trading account is currently positioned to profit from more near-term weaknesses.

This won’t be a straightforward trade because it never is, but expect more down than up and keep giving this short trade the benefit of the doubt.

Which stock should you buy in your very next trade?

With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities.

In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record.

With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

Unlock ProPicks AI
Read Next

Latest comments

Hello, congratulations on the good analysis! According to data from Barchart, I continue to think that after the reports for the past year of the trading companies as of February 15, 2024, it is very likely that we will have a new peak or close to the last one slightly above 5000 points of the SP500 index - this is from the extracted past futures trades before the current March futures. Now the question is how far will this current decline in the index go? In my opinion, your scenarios are also possible, from which the points will rise much faster if he decides to stop the decline at 4660-4640 points or a little lower to below 4600 points, where the December consolidation was among the growth from October 2023. I think that this decline will mark a short-term bottom today or on Monday around the gamma levels will mark a short correction of the current decline before falling again for a new one maybe coming to make a rally maybe the good annual results from the reports.
Alexandros MasoutisJan 05, 2024, 12:26
thank you very much write again please
Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.