New Closing Low For China's Shanghai Index

Published 11/28/2012, 02:07 AM

China's Shanghai Index closed yesterday at a new low not seen since February 2009. The 1-year Daily chart below shows that price slipped and closed just below near-term support as the RSI, MACD, and Stochastics indicators turned down again, with the MACD histogram beginning to accelerate below zero again.

SSEC - 1
The next chart is a Daily ratio chart comparing the Shanghai Index with the S&P 500 Index. What I notice is that price on the Shanghai Index has held up a bit better than the S&P 500 inasmuch as the SSEC began to rally in late September, while the SPX has been in a slow decline since then. Prices have not made a new low for the year on this ratio chart.

SSEC - SPX
The next chart is the same ratio chart, but with the RSI, MACD, and Stochastics indicators added. As with the first chart, these indicators are still in decline, and the MACD histogram's decline is still accelerating...
signs of recent comparative weakness of the SSEC to the SPX.

SSEC - SPX 2
The 1-year percentage comparison chart below shows the net gains to date on the SPX versus the net losses on the SSEC.

SSEC - SPX 3
The next percentage comparison chart below shows the net gains from November 7th to date on the SPX versus the net losses on the SSEC. While the SPX is attempting to rally from its recent lows, the SSEC has continued to decline and make a new (nearly) four-year low in the process. This chart is reflecting the recent comparative weakness of the SSEC to the SPX, as shown on the third chart above.

SSEC - SPX 4
Whether this is the beginning of a new leg down on the Shanghai Index remains to be seen, but with downside momentum accelerating again and the other indicators turning down, it would appear that it may be starting Alternatively, this may be the low point for 2012, China's Year of the Water Dragon, as I wrote about on January 4th of this year, to, finally, begin a rally into next year.

This is one to watch over the next days/weeks, along with its performance against the S&P 500 Index. It's my guess that if European Indices fail to advance with confidence in the near term, we'll likely see further weakness in the SSEC.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads.

Which stock should you buy in your very next trade?

AI computing powers are changing the stock market. Investing.com's ProPicks AI includes 6 winning stock portfolios chosen by our advanced AI. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. Which stock will be the next to soar?

Unlock ProPicks AI
Read Next

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.