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Natural Gas: Would Bears Prefer To Escape Trapping, Before Weekly Closing?

Published 12/13/2019, 07:18 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

On analysis of the movements of Natural Gas futures, in different time frames, I find that the bears have shown their strength since yesterday's inventory announcement; despited the fact that the announcement of withdrawal of 73 Bcf on December 12th, 2019 was much more than last week. I find that the short-covering rally may be seen in Natural Gas futures before weekly closing, which may mean Natural Gas futures see a weekly closing above $2.548.

I find that the Natural Gas bears would prefer to avoid to be trapped on the last trading day of the week; as the changing weather pattern may attract Natural Gas bulls to become aggressive any time with supporting news flow on week end. According to AccuWeather reports, "A southerly storm track will lead to a stronger system with increased moisture from the Gulf. This would produce stronger thunderstorms as the cold front sweeps through eastern Arkansas, Mississippi, western Tennessee and into western Alabama"; which may tend to a gap-up opening of Natural Gas futures on the first trading session of the upcoming week.

Finally, I conclude that the Natural Gas futures may continue to see higher volatility; but the overall trend will remain upward during the upcoming weeks.

Natural Gas Futures 1 Hr. Chart - Expected Trading Zones
Natural Gas Futures 4 Hr. Chart - Expected Trading Zones
Natural Gas Futures Daily Chart - Expected Trading Zones

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Latest comments

Is it 2.5 yet? Oh wait it has gone down to 2.28
NG needs to move ~10% to hit 2.58 from current price of 2.31 by weekly close.
someday you will be right. that doesnt mean that you are a good trade analyser.
Why do you bother drawing charts? Your opposite analysis is good enough.We already know how to intrept your predictions.!!
Thanks Sinph im going the other direction
everytime when he post artcle about natural gas prediction the market reverse
please do keep posting . we can do opposite
Why do u post bro? Do they really pay u for your posts? Do u take too much alcohol?
The king kong Singh you are! Never fail for reverse!
Sir, every time you are trolled by people due to wrong analysis. please come up at least one time correct analysis.
he has no knowledge about market.always misguided.
I don't understand how you can speak about an upward trend while NG has lost bigly the past 3 weeks. One has to question whether this is analysis or emotional driven hope to recover the losses piling up over there? ECMWF shows bulls are dead once again. Good luck on those coming Feb contracts. Injections season is coming. Accept the loss or lose it all.
How about for every time you're wrong, you must omit posting for at least 1 month or until you're right?
Gee! you speaks out again. then Monday is probably sure to go down even I still have a hope you will be right on just once in your life time.
When you will get it right???Whatever you say, goes opposite, poor chaps have burnt their fingers..Please avoid posting..atleast on NG
still not ready to stop?
its bulltrap.
Worst analyst in the history of NG
Say somethibg bad about natgas singh. It always works the opposite.
Singh is king! NG to at least 2.5 next week!
No wonder this dropped. Time to buy DGAZ
Feel free to copy and paste this chart : https://invst.ly/p2zjx
That was really creative !! OilGod , how about you post charts instead of Mr Singh, (seriously)
To me atleast it was a great morning laugh, thanks OilG
We are trapped by your analysis again and again.lol
You thougths NG are point on, and if the weather gets revised down in tempature prices could see 2.70 - 2.80 easly.Have a great day and thank you for your time
we r 100% sure now for gap down opening on Monday... guys, plz don't buy...
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