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Natural Gas Enters Buy Zone As Winter Kicks In

Published 12/14/2018, 09:13 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Since my last analysis, Natural Gas has bounced back up to $4.308, yet it could not sustain there for long and started to move downward. Natural Gas futures have reached the buying territory and look ready to see a weekly close above $4.156. No doubt that the current level will attract dip buyers while winter kicks in to provide a good boost to natural gas futures and spot prices. Due to the expected heating demand in the coming weeks, I find that Natural Gas seen sufficient buying from Natural Gas dip buyers, which are present in thick numbers at the current levels and is likely to attract more bulls til the weekly closing. A weekly closing above $4.157 will confirm a good gap-up opening on the first trading session of the upcoming week. Let’s have a look at the movements of Natural Gas futures in the following charts.

Natural Gas

Natural Gas

Natural Gas

Natural Gas

Disclaimer: This analysis is only for educational purpose. Readers are requested to kindly consider their own view first, before taking any position.

Latest comments

nope. down
This is a very very bad analysis. I will tell you why, this analysis leaves out all the bearish developments of the past week out. You cannot ignore those. The price is hard on its way to a singicant supportline of 3.6. If this is breached, 3.20 is next. But only analyzing potential upwards and ignoring the bearis setups and development of the past 5+ days I cannot only say this a bad analysis, but the analyst dropped here the ball too.
Monday very possible we could see the gap closing at 4.12 due the heavy short covering IMO . We should not forget that storage is low and we are still at the beginning of winter . I can see a clearly gap up at the opening , check the daily chart and you will find same closing on 11th of November at 3.788 ( exactly same closing of Friday )then next day opening was above 3.9 to bring prices to 4.9 levels within couple of days , I am not saying same thing could happen but the probability of gap up is much higher than gap down and at least I see 4.12 as easy achievable target . GL
Heavy short covering would not start until the previous gap is filled. IMO This is a huge technical breakdown that will take more 1 day to repair, or if there’s any. Keep dreaming.
I agree with Sabrina. Short covering would of happened on friday by end week! Why would a person leave his/her position over the weekend and cover on monday!? Hedge fund managers and MMs usually cover thier positions by the end of the week
Welcome to Bear Country
4.137 by tuesday
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