Last week’s review of the macro market indicators suggested, heading into the shortened Thanksgiving Holiday week that the equity markets looked solid longer term but a bit stretched in the short term. Elsewhere markets all were looking better to the upside. It looked for Gold to continue the bounce higher while Crude Oil might join it as it is also biased to the upside short term. The US Dollar Index looked ready to resume its uptrend while US Treasuries rounded out of a short term pullback and continued up as well. The Shanghai Composite looked to continue its uptrend and Emerging Markets might also be reversing higher. Volatility looked to remain subdued keeping the bias higher for the equity index ETF’s SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ARCA:IWM) and PowerShares QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ). Their charts continued to show divergence as the SPY and QQQ look higher in the intermediate term while the IWM continues sideways in a range. All three looked at risk of a short term pullback for the week, even if only Monday.
The week played out with Gold holding at 1200, the round number, before dropping Friday while Crude Oil resumed its move lower. The US Dollar came back to test support before moving higher while Treasuries continued the move higher. The Shanghai Composite broke consolidation higher while Emerging Markets pulled back from resistance. Volatility made a new two month low before rebounding slightly Friday, but still at very low levels. The Equity Index ETF’s held tight ranges, with the SPY and the QQQ at the highs, and the IWM holding its ground. What does this mean for the coming week? Lets look at some charts.
Disclaimer: The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.
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