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Macro Week in Review/Preview March 28, 2013

Published 03/28/2013, 07:16 PM

Last week’s review of the macro market indicators suggested, heading into what was expected to be a light, shortened week starting with Passover and ending with the Good Friday market holiday, the markets remained biased higher but the mix was shifting. Gold appeared ready to continue the bounce in its intermediate downtrend while Crude Oil consolidated in its uptrend. The US Dollar Index seemed ready for some consolidation or a pullback after its recent run while US Treasuries were biased higher in the intermediate downtrend. The Shanghai Composite looked ready to continue the rebound higher while Emerging Markets continued to the downside. Volatility looked to remain subdued, keeping the bias higher for the equity index ETF’s SPY, IWM and QQQ. Their charts were biased higher as well but the QQQ looked the best and on the longer timeframe with the SPY next and the IWM perhaps ready for a pullback.

The week played out with Gold pulling back mildly while Crude Oil resumed its move higher. The US Dollar made new highs at a critical level before pulling back Friday while Treasuries broke their consolidation higher but with topping candles. The Shanghai Composite fell from its perch while Emerging Markets found a bottom and bounced. Volatility continued to non volatile and stayed at historically low levels. The Equity Index ETF’s basically moved sideways with the SPY peaking above the range but the IWM and QQQ extending the consolidation. What does this mean for the coming week? Lets look at some charts.

Disclosure: The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.

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