Last month in this space my Monthly Macro Review/Preview had the monthly outlook suggesting that Gold and US Treasuries were at critical support levels and poised to move lower. Crude Oil and Copper looked to continue to consolidate while the US Dollar Index and Natural Gas were both biased higher. The Shanghai Composite, German DAX and Emerging Markets were all biased higher with each showing different signs of potential stalls or pullbacks. Volatility looked to continue drifting toward the historic lower range giving a tailwind to the Equity Indexes higher.
The Equity Index ETF’s SPY, IWM and QQQ were set up to continue higher in their charts as well in the coming months, with the SPY the strongest followed by the IWM and then the QQQ. As noted on the individual charts, there was room for some short term downside without breaking the upward bias. A massive move higher by the US Dollar could unhinge this as could a big reversal in Treasuries. How does an additional month impact the longer term picture? Let’s look at some charts.
Disclosure: The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.
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