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Is This Stock Pointing To A Resource Sector Comeback?

Published 01/15/2014, 01:07 AM

<GMP Price Overview

GMP data by YCharts

If GMP Capital Inc's, (GMP) business is fully integrated in the resource space, then you could reasonably expect the shares of the company to mirror the resource markets at large, especially the Canadian junior space (granted, many assumptions need to be made).

GMP runs a predominately, institutionally-focused business whereby they underwrite or advise resource companies.  So their business model is completely dependent on the large resource investors, or ‘smart money’s', willingness to invest in the sector and/or other resource companies finding value in the sector.  Either of them increasing would be a positive sign for the sector.

GMP’s shares have been on a run as of late and appear to be breaking through resistance formed this time last year.  GMP is coming off a few large, bought-deal financings including the Barrick Gold Corporation, (ABX) +$3 billion deal and $150 million and $175 million deals for HudBay Minerals Inc., (HBM) and Platinum Group Metals Ltd., (PLG), respectively.

The company’s shares typically perform well, along with the Canadian resource indices, in the first quarter of each year, but now the company looks to be headed toward levels not seen since January 2012.  Although not nearly at the 2007 levels, there are still many stories to be excited about this year.

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