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Daily Silver: Possible Correction

Published 11/28/2012, 01:13 PM
Perhaps today’s action will give more direction to the silver market as I was getting mixed technical and fundamental messages last week. Prices may have reached an interterm top this week as a correction may be underway. As one can see on the chart above prices have traded under their 50-day MA; the light blue line for the first time since prices penetrated that level last week.
Silver
I am operating under the influence that we could see a correction in the entire metals complex. On a settlement under the 50-day MA this would be confirmed. This does not affect my longer term bullish stance, in fact I am eager to see a correction to buy for clients from lower levels. As long as the trend line identified by the white line just under $30/ounce holds I remain bullish.

Go Bearish
I’ve advised clients to gain bearish exposure by purchasing back ratio spreads in March. I am using the Fibonacci levels on the chart above as my targets on the forecasted deprecation to come. The red line is the 100-day MA which also would be a good exit point in my opinion… lying between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci levels.


Continue to monitor outside markets as the dollar has been able to stay above its 50-day MA and the stock market is currently challenging the down sloping trend line and to date has been able to remain above its nine-day MA. Obviously the ebb and flow of money is critical as money shifts from asset class to asset class.
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