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Crude Oil's Fear Index Spikes: Bullish Reversal Forming At Support

Published 03/10/2020, 01:51 PM

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index, Crude Oil (bottom)

The coronavirus has caused severe economic uncertainty, as economists are beginning to weigh its effect on economic growth.

This has brought heightened levels of fear into the financial markets, sending both stocks and economically sensitive commodities like crude oil cascading lower.

On Tuesday crude futures crashed lower alongside the stock market. We warned about the potential for crude oil and stocks to top at the same time (back in January). And oil prices are now nearing levels not seen since 2016.

The crash in prices has sent crude’s fear index (OVX) spiking higher to all-time highs (2). The prior two spikes occurred near major crude oil price bottoms at (1).

And the latest spike comes as crude oil tests its prior price lows from 2016 at (3). Could this turn into a double bottom? Oil bulls (and stock bulls) sure hope so.

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Latest comments

Bob WilliamsonMar 13, 2020, 03:40
The highest fear levels always precede bottoms. Duh! I think we could still go lower. Stocks, even at a 26% discount, are still not cheap. Baby stocks in the Russell are off 35%. That's where I'd look for bargains. I would only nibble at oil above $20.
Bob WilliamsonMar 13, 2020, 03:42
BTW Thanks for writing this article. I don't agree with you but I can always change my mind if you turn out to be right. I wish others would write about oil publicly. It's a closed system most of the time.
ugur timsahMar 11, 2020, 13:53
You are so wrong i think
Show all comments
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